Monday, September 21, 2026
“He who lives by the crystal ball will eat shattered glass.”– Ray Dalio
MARKET & MACRO DATA
|
Value |
1D |
1M |
YTD |
1Y |
ATH |
| S&P 500 |
7,651 |
▲ 0.17% |
▼ 0.75% |
▲ 11.55% |
▲ 14.80% |
▼ 2.13% |
| Nasdaq |
26,523 |
▲ 0.39% |
▲ 0.73% |
▲ 14.15% |
▲ 17.19% |
▼ 2.46% |
| Russell 2000 |
2,860 |
▼ 0.00% |
▼ 5.22% |
▲ 14.04% |
▲ 16.81% |
▼ 6.82% |
| EM (EEM) |
$67 |
▲ 0.18% |
▲ 1.39% |
▲ 19.19% |
▲ 26.45% |
▼ 6.34% |
| Financials (XLF) |
$56 |
▼ 0.04% |
▼ 2.82% |
▲ 1.69% |
▲ 2.97% |
▼ 4.68% |
| Energy (XLE) |
$64 |
▼ 0.26% |
▲ 1.15% |
▲ 40.88% |
▲ 45.30% |
▼ 29.28% |
| Technology (XLK) |
$190 |
▲ 0.82% |
▲ 3.25% |
▲ 31.39% |
▲ 35.95% |
▼ 12.80% |
| AI ETF (SMH) |
$573 |
▲ 2.21% |
▲ 2.15% |
▲ 53.50% |
▲ 81.50% |
▼ 14.71% |
| Cons Disc (XLY) |
$111 |
▼ 0.32% |
▼ 6.37% |
▼ 6.19% |
▼ 8.01% |
▼ 39.77% |
| Gold ($/oz) |
$4,383 |
▼ 0.96% |
▼ 6.37% |
▲ 1.22% |
▲ 16.09% |
▼ 21.55% |
| Bitcoin (USD) |
$84,510 |
▲ 4.15% |
▲ 9.64% |
▼ 6.04% |
▼ 26.71% |
▼ 33.03% |
| Copper ($/lb) |
$6.78 |
▲ 2.50% |
▲ 3.05% |
▲ 20.22% |
▲ 48.27% |
▼ 0.37% |
| Brent Oil ($/bbl) |
$97 |
▼ 6.91% |
▲ 2.44% |
▲ 59.16% |
▲ 45.25% |
▼ 34.42% |
| Nat Gas ($/MMBtu) |
$2.87 |
▼ 1.58% |
▲ 3.35% |
▼ 20.78% |
▲ 2.14% |
▼ 81.84% |
| VIX (Volatility) |
14.89 |
▲ 0.54% |
▼ 1.59% |
▲ 2.62% |
▼ 7.52% |
▼ 83.37% |
| 3-Month T-Bill |
4.12% |
▼ 2bps |
▲ 26bps |
▲ 47bps |
▲ 10bps |
▼ 151bps |
| 2Y Treasury |
4.67% |
▼ 7bps |
▲ 48bps |
▲ 120bps |
▲ 115bps |
▼ 52bps |
| 10Y Treasury |
4.94% |
▼ 7bps |
▲ 23bps |
▲ 75bps |
▲ 88bps |
▼ 32bps |
| US HY Spread |
2.70% |
▲ 0bps |
▼ 5bps |
▼ 13bps |
▼ 9bps |
▼ 191bps |
| US Dollar Index (DXY) |
100.31 |
▲ 0.09% |
▲ 1.52% |
▲ 1.92% |
▲ 3.06% |
▼ 39.11% |
| US Unemployment |
4.10% |
Aug 2026 · Next release: October 2, 2026 |
| US CPI (YoY) |
3.40% |
Aug 2026 · BLS CPI-U all items NSA |
| SOFR 3M (90d avg) |
3.65% |
Rate only · n/a across change periods |
ECONOMICS, MARKETS & BUSINESS
- Treasury yields ease as global borrowing costs tumble – Treasury yields were lower on Monday following last week's interest rate bonanza. Ask Claude ›
- Why the world’s hottest stock market is a national liability – South Korea’s wild stock price swings are hurting the country’s image Ask Claude ›
- See the 10-Year Treasury Yield’s Wild Ride on the Road to 5% – A pandemic, wars and government deficits have reshaped the bond market since the start of the decade. Ask Claude ›
- Here are the 3 big things we're watching in the stock market this week – The week ahead is light on macroeconomic data, but investors can still expect plenty of market-moving headlines. Ask Claude ›
- Wall Street expects US to issue about $1tn of short-term debt as borrowing costs climb – Growing reliance on Treasury bills comes as Scott Bessent seeks to curb rise in long-term rates Ask Claude ›
- ‘It's awful’: How tariffs, soaring fuel costs and higher interest rates are squeezing American companies – Tariffs, fuel prices and interest rates are squeezing American companies, particularly manufacturers, auto suppliers, retailers and transportation businesses. Ask Claude ›
- Treasury Secretary Bessent talks to CNBC as Trump administration faces affordability concerns – Bessent met over the weekend with his Chinese counterpart, He Lifeng, ahead of a summit between Chinese President Xi Jinping and President Donald Trump. Ask Claude ›
- Slide in oil prices drives rebound in battered government bonds – Brent crude falls to just above $100 amid speculation that Donald Trump could meet Iranian president this week, lifting French and Italian debt Ask Claude ›
- U.S.-listed Greenland stocks surge after Trump announces security deal with Denmark – The rally followed a U.S.-Denmark-Greenland security pact aimed at expanding the military presence on the Arctic territory. Ask Claude ›
- Novo shares slide as drugmaker lays out post-Wegovy growth strategy – The Danish company seeks to convince investors it can compete in an increasingly crowded field it helped pioneer. Ask Claude ›
- Bitcoin Jumps Above $85,000 to 8-Month High – The flagship cryptocurrency continued its red-hot rebound, and was up over 30% since Aug. 19 and is holding firmly above the $80,000 level that had proved a stubborn cap in recent weeks. Ask Claude ›
- Digital euro makes debut in wholesale financial markets – European Central Bank hopes to launch a retail equivalent by 2029 Ask Claude ›
TECH & AI
- Nvidia boss says there is ‘0% chance’ AI destroys the world by 2030 Ask Claude ›
- Trump says it’s time to rebrand AI with a new name – and he’s also creating an AI Force – Trump claimed, without evidence, that the AI backlash is a Democratic hoax. Ask Claude ›
- Google’s Gemini is the latest AI model to hack other companies – Google said Gemini had "acted appropriately" by ending each hack immediately. Ask Claude ›
- World model companies are keeping a lot of secrets – Everyone in the world-models space is sitting on a pile of cash and a ton of buzz, but good luck getting anyone – from the founders to their own data suppliers – to tell you what they're actually buil Ask Claude ›
- Elon Musk’s latest Boring Company pitch involves a Hyperloop between Austin and San Antonio – Many of The Boring Company's announced project have not materialized. Ask Claude ›
- Is the AI industry really ready to slow down? – On Equity, we debated whether Ai executives are serious about wanting to slow down. Ask Claude ›
- Vocci’s ring adds a new form factor to meeting note-taking – Vocci's lightweight ring costs $249, and might pose some privacy questions Ask Claude ›
- ScrollEd wants to turn textbooks into TikTok – ScrollEd turns textbooks into a scrollable, Instagram-like feed with video, audio, and quizzes. The Palo Alto startup, founded by student co-founders (and spouses) Utsav Gupta and Rebecca Neff, pitche Ask Claude ›
WORLD & POLITICS
- CNN, MS NOW and Politico to file lawsuit against Trump's White House ban – The US media outlets say they are defending "the principle that the government does not decide what the press reports or publishes". Ask Claude ›
- Chinese rare earth shipments to US drop ahead of Trump-Xi summit – August exports down 20% from July as Washington presses Beijing over supplies of critical minerals Ask Claude ›
- Pakistan arrests Imran Khan’s sisters ahead of planned protests – Police cordon off streets to block march on capital over former prime minister’s incarceration Ask Claude ›
- Bessent hails US-China AI dialogue ahead of Trump-Xi meeting – Treasury secretary says sides working towards ‘shared vision’ after talks with Chinese counterpart Ask Claude ›
- Largest attack on Moscow sees Ukraine fire hundreds of drones, mayor says – Moscow's mayor says 450 drones were downed during the overnight barrage, in which two people died. Ask Claude ›
- Houthis say they targeted Saudi capital with ballistic missiles – A reported strike on a fuel depot at Riyadh airport caused delays on Saturday, as Saudi Arabia says it shot down a ballistic missile aimed at the capital. Ask Claude ›
- Bank of Japan Raises Rates, Making U.S. Less Alluring for Tokyo Investors – The yen weakened as two members of the bank’s board suggested future rate rises might come more slowly than anticipated. Ask Claude ›
- Boy, 11, in serious condition after being shot in face and neck in Sydney home – Three 18-year-old men were arrested at the unit in Norwest, police said, but officers played down link to organised crime Get our breaking news email , free app or daily news podcast An 11-year-old bo Ask Claude ›
EARNINGS RELEASES (next 15 days)
| Date | Company | EPS Forecast | Watch |
| Sep 22 |
AutoZone AZO |
$54.78 |
Vehicle sales, parts demand, and consumer auto spending |
| Sep 23 |
Cintas CTAS |
$1.35 |
Contract renewals and outsourcing demand |
| Sep 23 |
Paychex PAYX |
$1.33 |
Hiring demand and labor market trends |
| Sep 23 |
General Mills GIS |
$0.72 |
Input costs and pricing power |
| Sep 24 |
Costco Wholesale COST |
$6.48 |
Grocery and staples volume and price competition |
| Sep 24 |
Darden Restaurants DRI |
$2.06 |
Traffic trends and input and labor cost inflation |
| Sep 29 |
Carnival Corporation CCL |
$1.36 |
Travel demand and occupancy and booking trends |
| Sep 30 |
Micron Technology MU |
$31.24 |
Chip demand, supply bottlenecks, and AI infrastructure spending |
| Sep 30 |
Jabil JBL |
$3.86 |
Contract manufacturing volumes and customer concentration |
| Sep 30 |
FactSet Research Systems FDS |
$4.32 |
Trading volumes and data and subscription revenue growth |
| Oct 1 |
Accenture ACN |
$3.19 |
Enterprise IT spending and project pipelines |
| Oct 1 |
Nike NKE |
$0.44 |
Consumer discretionary spending and brand pricing power |
| Oct 1 |
McCormick & Company MKC |
$0.75 |
Input costs and pricing power |
WEEK AHEAD
| Date | Event |
| Sep 25, 2026 |
U.S. PCE Price Index (August) Last PCE before Oct FOMC. Fed needs to see sustained progress toward 2% target. |
ON THE RADAR
| Date | Event |
| Oct 2, 2026 |
U.S. Jobs Report (September) Q3 labour market health check; impacts Oct FOMC hold/cut decision. |
| Oct 14, 2026 |
U.S. CPI (September) Q3 inflation summary; key input for Nov and Dec FOMC decisions. |
| Oct 27–28, 2026 |
FOMC Meeting & Rate Decision (Oct 27–28, 2026) – Rate decision Oct 28 at 2 PM ET No updated rate-path forecast at this meeting; decision driven by September jobs and inflation data. Market consensus: hold. |
| Oct 29, 2026 |
U.S. Q3 2026 GDP Advance Estimate Consensus: +1.8% annualized – First read on Q3 growth; consensus +1.8% annualized after a soft Q2. A miss would reinforce rate cut case. |
Marz Capital – The Brief · Sourced from Yahoo Finance, BLS, StatsCan, FRED, CNBC, Reuters & web search ·
Note: some 1M/YTD/1Y market columns show n/a where data was unavailable at time of research · Treasury "ATH" reflects the past 20 years, not full history, since older-regime peaks (e.g. ~15% in 1981) aren't a meaningful comparison to today
Marz Capital, 475 Kent Ave, Brooklyn, NY 11249
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