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The Brief

Monday, September 21, 2026

“He who lives by the crystal ball will eat shattered glass.”– Ray Dalio

MARKET & MACRO DATA

Value 1D 1M YTD 1Y ATH
S&P 500 7,651 ▲ 0.17% ▼ 0.75% ▲ 11.55% ▲ 14.80% ▼ 2.13%
Nasdaq 26,523 ▲ 0.39% ▲ 0.73% ▲ 14.15% ▲ 17.19% ▼ 2.46%
Russell 2000 2,860 ▼ 0.00% ▼ 5.22% ▲ 14.04% ▲ 16.81% ▼ 6.82%
EM (EEM) $67 ▲ 0.18% ▲ 1.39% ▲ 19.19% ▲ 26.45% ▼ 6.34%
Financials (XLF) $56 ▼ 0.04% ▼ 2.82% ▲ 1.69% ▲ 2.97% ▼ 4.68%
Energy (XLE) $64 ▼ 0.26% ▲ 1.15% ▲ 40.88% ▲ 45.30% ▼ 29.28%
Technology (XLK) $190 ▲ 0.82% ▲ 3.25% ▲ 31.39% ▲ 35.95% ▼ 12.80%
AI ETF (SMH) $573 ▲ 2.21% ▲ 2.15% ▲ 53.50% ▲ 81.50% ▼ 14.71%
Cons Disc (XLY) $111 ▼ 0.32% ▼ 6.37% ▼ 6.19% ▼ 8.01% ▼ 39.77%
Gold ($/oz) $4,383 ▼ 0.96% ▼ 6.37% ▲ 1.22% ▲ 16.09% ▼ 21.55%
Bitcoin (USD) $84,510 ▲ 4.15% ▲ 9.64% ▼ 6.04% ▼ 26.71% ▼ 33.03%
Copper ($/lb) $6.78 ▲ 2.50% ▲ 3.05% ▲ 20.22% ▲ 48.27% ▼ 0.37%
Brent Oil ($/bbl) $97 ▼ 6.91% ▲ 2.44% ▲ 59.16% ▲ 45.25% ▼ 34.42%
Nat Gas ($/MMBtu) $2.87 ▼ 1.58% ▲ 3.35% ▼ 20.78% ▲ 2.14% ▼ 81.84%
VIX (Volatility) 14.89 ▲ 0.54% ▼ 1.59% ▲ 2.62% ▼ 7.52% ▼ 83.37%
3-Month T-Bill 4.12% ▼ 2bps ▲ 26bps ▲ 47bps ▲ 10bps ▼ 151bps
2Y Treasury 4.67% ▼ 7bps ▲ 48bps ▲ 120bps ▲ 115bps ▼ 52bps
10Y Treasury 4.94% ▼ 7bps ▲ 23bps ▲ 75bps ▲ 88bps ▼ 32bps
US HY Spread 2.70% ▲ 0bps ▼ 5bps ▼ 13bps ▼ 9bps ▼ 191bps
US Dollar Index (DXY) 100.31 ▲ 0.09% ▲ 1.52% ▲ 1.92% ▲ 3.06% ▼ 39.11%
US Unemployment 4.10% Aug 2026 · Next release: October 2, 2026
US CPI (YoY) 3.40% Aug 2026 · BLS CPI-U all items NSA
SOFR 3M (90d avg) 3.65% Rate only · n/a across change periods

ECONOMICS, MARKETS & BUSINESS

TECH & AI

WORLD & POLITICS

EARNINGS RELEASES (next 15 days)

DateCompanyEPS ForecastWatch
Sep 22 AutoZone AZO $54.78 Vehicle sales, parts demand, and consumer auto spending
Sep 23 Cintas CTAS $1.35 Contract renewals and outsourcing demand
Sep 23 Paychex PAYX $1.33 Hiring demand and labor market trends
Sep 23 General Mills GIS $0.72 Input costs and pricing power
Sep 24 Costco Wholesale COST $6.48 Grocery and staples volume and price competition
Sep 24 Darden Restaurants DRI $2.06 Traffic trends and input and labor cost inflation
Sep 29 Carnival Corporation CCL $1.36 Travel demand and occupancy and booking trends
Sep 30 Micron Technology MU $31.24 Chip demand, supply bottlenecks, and AI infrastructure spending
Sep 30 Jabil JBL $3.86 Contract manufacturing volumes and customer concentration
Sep 30 FactSet Research Systems FDS $4.32 Trading volumes and data and subscription revenue growth
Oct 1 Accenture ACN $3.19 Enterprise IT spending and project pipelines
Oct 1 Nike NKE $0.44 Consumer discretionary spending and brand pricing power
Oct 1 McCormick & Company MKC $0.75 Input costs and pricing power

WEEK AHEAD

DateEvent
Sep 25, 2026 U.S. PCE Price Index (August)
Last PCE before Oct FOMC. Fed needs to see sustained progress toward 2% target.

ON THE RADAR

DateEvent
Oct 2, 2026 U.S. Jobs Report (September)
Q3 labour market health check; impacts Oct FOMC hold/cut decision.
Oct 14, 2026 U.S. CPI (September)
Q3 inflation summary; key input for Nov and Dec FOMC decisions.
Oct 27–28, 2026 FOMC Meeting & Rate Decision (Oct 27–28, 2026) – Rate decision Oct 28 at 2 PM ET
No updated rate-path forecast at this meeting; decision driven by September jobs and inflation data. Market consensus: hold.
Oct 29, 2026 U.S. Q3 2026 GDP Advance Estimate
Consensus: +1.8% annualized – First read on Q3 growth; consensus +1.8% annualized after a soft Q2. A miss would reinforce rate cut case.

Marz Capital – The Brief · Sourced from Yahoo Finance, BLS, StatsCan, FRED, CNBC, Reuters & web search · Note: some 1M/YTD/1Y market columns show n/a where data was unavailable at time of research · Treasury "ATH" reflects the past 20 years, not full history, since older-regime peaks (e.g. ~15% in 1981) aren't a meaningful comparison to today

Marz Capital, 475 Kent Ave, Brooklyn, NY 11249

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