Wednesday, September 23, 2026
“Overall, the investment in AI is not a speculative bubble; rather, it will deliver significant benefits.”– Jamie Dimon
Tech and AI names surge as buzz around new AI products lifts large-cap tech to record highs.
SMH jumps over 4% and Nasdaq gains 2.26% on the same AI-driven rally.
Energy sinks as Brent falls below $100 and extends its longest losing streak in over a year on US-Iran talks.
Natural gas spikes nearly 8% on reports of a possible US diesel/export ban tightening supply expectations.
Dollar climbs to an eight-week high as Fed rate-hike bets outweigh falling oil prices.
Gold slips as expectations of higher rates to fight inflation weigh on the metal.
10Y yield eases 5bps even as Fed's Collins warns inflation could stay 'notably' above target, showing oil volatility dominating rate moves for now.
VIX drops nearly 5% as risk appetite returns on the tech-led rally.
EM equities rally 2.69% with no clear driver in today's headlines.
| Value | 1D | 1M | YTD | 1Y | ATH | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | 7,765 | ▲ 1.49% | ▲ 1.18% | ▲ 13.21% | ▲ 16.64% | ▼ 0.67% |
| Nasdaq | 27,122 | ▲ 2.26% | ▲ 3.60% | ▲ 16.73% | ▲ 20.15% | ▼ 0.61% |
| Russell 2000 | 2,875 | ▲ 0.52% | ▼ 4.72% | ▲ 14.64% | ▲ 17.00% | ▼ 6.33% |
| EM (EEM) | $69 | ▲ 2.69% | ▲ 2.55% | ▲ 22.39% | ▲ 29.14% | ▼ 3.83% |
| Financials (XLF) | $56 | ▲ 0.07% | ▼ 2.75% | ▲ 1.77% | ▲ 3.98% | ▼ 4.61% |
| Energy (XLE) | $62 | ▼ 2.88% | ▼ 1.85% | ▲ 36.82% | ▲ 40.08% | ▼ 31.32% |
| Technology (XLK) | $195 | ▲ 2.77% | ▲ 6.30% | ▲ 35.03% | ▲ 39.07% | ▼ 10.39% |
| AI ETF (SMH) | $596 | ▲ 4.02% | ▲ 6.35% | ▲ 59.67% | ▲ 85.28% | ▼ 11.28% |
| Cons Disc (XLY) | $112 | ▲ 1.08% | ▼ 4.91% | ▼ 5.17% | ▼ 5.66% | ▼ 39.12% |
| Gold ($/oz) | $4,352 | ▼ 0.57% | ▼ 7.37% | ▲ 0.51% | ▲ 14.04% | ▼ 22.10% |
| Bitcoin (USD) | $85,870 | ▼ 0.35% | ▲ 8.75% | ▼ 4.53% | ▼ 23.34% | ▼ 31.96% |
| Copper ($/lb) | $6.82 | ▲ 0.90% | ▲ 3.35% | ▲ 20.92% | ▲ 48.76% | ▼ 1.33% |
| Brent Oil ($/bbl) | $96 | ▼ 3.74% | ▲ 3.66% | ▲ 57.27% | ▲ 41.27% | ▼ 35.20% |
| Nat Gas ($/MMBtu) | $3.20 | ▲ 7.89% | ▲ 14.99% | ▼ 11.58% | ▲ 12.13% | ▼ 79.73% |
| VIX (Volatility) | 14.17 | ▼ 4.71% | ▼ 10.60% | ▼ 2.34% | ▼ 14.84% | ▼ 84.17% |
| 3-Month T-Bill | 4.17% | ▲ 3bps | ▲ 29bps | ▲ 52bps | ▲ 17bps | ▼ 146bps |
| 2Y Treasury | 4.76% | ▲ 0bps | ▲ 52bps | ▲ 129bps | ▲ 115bps | ▼ 43bps |
| 10Y Treasury | 4.96% | ▼ 5bps | ▲ 22bps | ▲ 77bps | ▲ 81bps | ▼ 30bps |
| US HY Spread | 2.66% | ▼ 2bps | ▼ 4bps | ▼ 17bps | ▼ 3bps | ▼ 195bps |
| US Dollar Index (DXY) | 100.84 | ▲ 0.41% | ▲ 1.86% | ▲ 2.46% | ▲ 3.68% | ▼ 38.78% |
| US Unemployment | 4.10% | Aug 2026 · Next release: October 2, 2026 | ||||
| US CPI (YoY) | 3.40% | Aug 2026 · BLS CPI-U all items NSA | ||||
| SOFR 3M (90d avg) | 3.66% | Rate only · n/a across change periods | ||||
| Date | Company | EPS Forecast | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23 | Cintas CTAS | $1.35 | Contract renewals and outsourcing demand |
| Sep 23 | Paychex PAYX | $1.33 | Hiring demand and labor market trends |
| Sep 23 | General Mills GIS | $0.72 | Input costs and pricing power |
| Sep 24 | Costco Wholesale COST | $6.48 | Grocery and staples volume and price competition |
| Sep 24 | Darden Restaurants DRI | $2.06 | Traffic trends and input and labor cost inflation |
| Sep 29 | Carnival Corporation CCL | $1.36 | Travel demand and occupancy and booking trends |
| Sep 30 | Micron Technology MU | $31.24 | Chip demand, supply bottlenecks, and AI infrastructure spending |
| Sep 30 | Jabil JBL | $3.86 | Contract manufacturing volumes and customer concentration |
| Oct 1 | Accenture ACN | $3.19 | Enterprise IT spending and project pipelines |
| Oct 1 | Nike NKE | $0.44 | Consumer discretionary spending and brand pricing power |
| Oct 1 | McCormick & Company MKC | $0.75 | Input costs and pricing power |
| Oct 6 | Constellation Brands STZ | $3.63 | Consumer spending on premium beverages |
| Date | Event |
|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | U.S. PCE Price Index (August) Last PCE before Oct FOMC. Fed needs to see sustained progress toward 2% target. |
| Date | Event |
|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | U.S. Jobs Report (September) Q3 labour market health check; impacts Oct FOMC hold/cut decision. |
| Oct 14, 2026 | U.S. CPI (September) Q3 inflation summary; key input for Nov and Dec FOMC decisions. |
| Oct 27–28, 2026 | FOMC Meeting & Rate Decision (Oct 27–28, 2026) – Rate decision Oct 28 at 2 PM ET No updated rate-path forecast at this meeting; decision driven by September jobs and inflation data. Market consensus: hold. |
| Oct 29, 2026 | U.S. Q3 2026 GDP Advance Estimate Consensus: +1.8% annualized – First read on Q3 growth; consensus +1.8% annualized after a soft Q2. A miss would reinforce rate cut case. |
Marz Capital – The Brief · Sourced from Yahoo Finance, BLS, StatsCan, FRED, CNBC, Reuters & web search · Note: some 1M/YTD/1Y market columns show n/a where data was unavailable at time of research · Treasury "ATH" reflects the past 20 years, not full history, since older-regime peaks (e.g. ~15% in 1981) aren't a meaningful comparison to today
Marz Capital, 475 Kent Ave, Brooklyn, NY 11249
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