Monday, September 28, 2026
“Live within your income and save so that you can invest. Learn what you need to learn.”– Charlie Munger
SUMMARY
Technology and AI stocks rise even as Treasury yields hit a 19-year high, echoing last week's Meta and Microsoft resilience.
10-year Treasury yield climbs 7bps to 5.18% as sticky inflation and heavy bond issuance keep pressuring rates.
VIX jumps nearly 10% as stock futures wobble heading into jobs week.
Energy underperforms as Brent oil slides over 3% to $101, unwinding recent geopolitical risk premium.
Gold and Bitcoin both retreat as rising yields and a firmer dollar dull demand for havens.
Record foreign capital inflows into US equities help underpin the S&P 500's gain.
Financials outperform as institutional investors retake the driving seat from retail traders.
Emerging markets outpace developed peers, benefiting from the broader shift into US and global equities.
MARKET & MACRO DATA
|
Value |
1D |
1M |
YTD |
1Y |
ATH |
| S&P 500 |
7,743 |
▲ 0.51% |
▲ 0.88% |
▲ 12.90% |
▲ 16.55% |
▼ 0.94% |
| Nasdaq |
27,069 |
▲ 0.48% |
▲ 3.59% |
▲ 16.50% |
▲ 20.39% |
▼ 0.81% |
| Russell 2000 |
2,838 |
▲ 0.07% |
▼ 5.60% |
▲ 13.13% |
▲ 16.56% |
▼ 7.56% |
| EM (EEM) |
$68 |
▲ 1.09% |
▲ 1.21% |
▲ 20.87% |
▲ 28.97% |
▼ 5.02% |
| Financials (XLF) |
$55 |
▲ 0.57% |
▼ 5.87% |
▼ 0.16% |
▲ 1.82% |
▼ 6.42% |
| Energy (XLE) |
$62 |
▼ 0.89% |
▼ 0.62% |
▲ 35.90% |
▲ 34.88% |
▼ 31.78% |
| Technology (XLK) |
$196 |
▲ 0.80% |
▲ 7.35% |
▲ 36.02% |
▲ 40.78% |
▼ 9.74% |
| AI ETF (SMH) |
$607 |
▲ 1.01% |
▲ 9.14% |
▲ 62.49% |
▲ 88.48% |
▼ 9.72% |
| Cons Disc (XLY) |
$111 |
▲ 0.22% |
▼ 5.63% |
▼ 6.58% |
▼ 7.76% |
▼ 40.02% |
| Gold ($/oz) |
$4,188 |
▼ 3.08% |
▼ 7.54% |
▼ 3.26% |
▲ 8.64% |
▼ 25.02% |
| Bitcoin (USD) |
$82,991 |
▼ 1.74% |
▲ 6.06% |
▼ 7.73% |
▼ 25.98% |
▼ 34.24% |
| Copper ($/lb) |
$6.63 |
▼ 0.94% |
▲ 1.07% |
▲ 17.60% |
▲ 37.01% |
▼ 2.89% |
| Brent Oil ($/bbl) |
$101 |
▼ 3.20% |
▲ 13.07% |
▲ 66.22% |
▲ 48.57% |
▼ 31.51% |
| Nat Gas ($/MMBtu) |
$3.10 |
▼ 2.91% |
▲ 7.44% |
▼ 14.23% |
▼ 5.02% |
▼ 80.34% |
| VIX (Volatility) |
16.34 |
▲ 9.89% |
▲ 13.24% |
▲ 12.61% |
▲ 1.36% |
▼ 81.75% |
| 3-Month T-Bill |
4.24% |
▲ 5bps |
▲ 38bps |
▲ 59bps |
▲ 22bps |
▼ 139bps |
| 2Y Treasury |
4.87% |
▲ 2bps |
▲ 70bps |
▲ 140bps |
▲ 130bps |
▼ 32bps |
| 10Y Treasury |
5.18% |
▲ 7bps |
▲ 54bps |
▲ 99bps |
▲ 102bps |
▼ 8bps |
| US HY Spread |
2.80% |
▲ 7bps |
▲ 10bps |
▼ 3bps |
▲ 10bps |
▼ 181bps |
| US Dollar Index (DXY) |
101.13 |
▲ 0.16% |
▲ 1.44% |
▲ 2.76% |
▲ 3.29% |
▼ 38.60% |
| US Unemployment |
4.10% |
Aug 2026 · Next release: October 2, 2026 |
| US CPI (YoY) |
3.40% |
Aug 2026 · BLS CPI-U all items NSA |
| SOFR 3M (90d avg) |
3.67% |
Rate only · n/a across change periods |
ECONOMICS, MARKETS & BUSINESS
- Meta and Microsoft led tech stocks higher last week despite soaring bond yields Ask Claude ›
- Blackstone’s top private equity executive prepares exit for possible public service move – Joseph Baratta, one of the company’s best-paid employees, plans to leave the group after almost three decades Ask Claude ›
- Treasury Selloff Extends, Stock Futures Slide to Kick Off Jobs Week – U.S. stock futures fell sharply and a selloff in Treasurys intensified in early European trade, as market sentiment wilted. Ask Claude ›
- World’s worst-performing market slashes minimum price for stocks – Indonesia is trying to boost liquidity by allowing shares to trade at a tiny fraction of a US cent Ask Claude ›
- Wall Street money takes back over from small investors as driving force of the stock market – One firm sees a "reasonably constructive signal for risk appetite" among institutional investors. Ask Claude ›
- The 10-year Treasury yield is at its highest in nearly two decades. How we got here – The benchmark yield has climbed to a 19-year high, fueled by sticky inflation, heavy bond issuance and an AI-fueled investment boom. Ask Claude ›
- Foreign capital flows into US stocks hit record as appetite for debt fades – Overseas purchases of US equities topped $940bn in the year to July, coinciding with strong gains in the S&P 500 Ask Claude ›
- Treasury yields edge higher amid pressure on global government bonds – Treasury yields edged higher on Monday as investors look ahead to fresh economic data releases this week. Ask Claude ›
- Whole Foods co-founder shares 3 tips for launching a successful second act: 'I'm relearning some lessons' – John Mackey is learning that what helped him build Whole Foods Market into a multibillion-dollar business can help him in his second act, but only if he's patient. Ask Claude ›
- Selloff in U.S., European Government Bonds Deepens – The selloff pushed 10-year Treasury and Bund yields to multiyear highs as yet another setback in efforts to resolve the Middle East conflict drove oil prices higher. Ask Claude ›
- Bond sell-off deepens as oil rises above $108 – Ten-year Treasury yield hits 5.2% and Brent jumps as hopes for US-Iran agreement fade Ask Claude ›
- How Mark Walter Turned a Ho-Hum Insurance Company Into a Risk-Taking Lender – Delaware Life has transformed into a private-credit lender, with a much higher concentration of riskier investments than typical insurers. Ask Claude ›
TECH & AI
WORLD & POLITICS
DEALS
- FTAI Aviation, the NASDAQ-listed aircraft leasing and aerospace products company, acquired 27 Boeing 737-700 aircraft from WestJet through its 2026 Strategic Capital vehicle in a combined sale-leaseback and asset purchase, marking one of the firm's largest aircraft transactions to date. Source ›
- Theravance Biopharma, maker of the respiratory drug YUPELRI, saw its acquisition by Zymeworks officially close, adding a durable, recurring cash-flow asset to Zymeworks' biotech portfolio. Source ›
- ITM Isotope Technologies Munich, a Munich-based producer of therapeutic radioisotopes generating $273 million in 2025 revenue, agreed to be acquired by Telix Pharmaceuticals for $1.65 billion upfront in Telix stock and assumed debt, plus up to $700 million in milestone payments, to create a vertically integrated radiopharmaceutical powerhouse. Source ›
- Priority Technology Holdings, a Nasdaq-listed payments and banking solutions provider, agreed to go private in an all-cash deal worth roughly $1.6 billion in enterprise value, with an investor group led by Chairman and CEO Thomas Priore paying $8.05 per share and equity financing from Searchlight Capital Partners. Source ›
- Rentokil, the global pest control giant, agreed to sell its lake and pond management division to Bain Capital for $230 million. Source ›
- Snorkel AI, an AI data development platform, raised $350 million at a $3.5 billion post-money valuation, with Insight Partners and S32 leading a round joined by Addition, March Capital, Blumberg Capital, Allegis Capital, Frontline, Standard, Third Point Ventures, and existing backers Greylock, Lightspeed, GV, Factory, Prosperity7, Walden Catalyst, and Wells Fargo. Source ›
- Mirendil, a San Francisco-based self-improving AI model developer launched by former Anthropic researchers, is reportedly in talks to raise new funding at a $5 billion valuation led by Kleiner Perkins. Source ›
- TK Elevator, the German elevator maker, is the target of a planned €29.4 billion ($33.7 billion) acquisition by Finnish lift engineering giant Kone that is now facing a UK antitrust review over potential competition concerns. Source ›
EARNINGS RELEASES (next 15 days)
| Date | Company | EPS Forecast | Watch |
| Sep 29 |
Carnival Corporation CCL |
$1.36 |
Travel demand and occupancy and booking trends |
| Sep 30 |
Micron Technology MU |
$31.24 |
Chip demand, supply bottlenecks, and AI infrastructure spending |
| Sep 30 |
Jabil JBL |
$3.86 |
Contract manufacturing volumes and customer concentration |
| Oct 1 |
Accenture ACN |
$3.19 |
Enterprise IT spending and project pipelines |
| Oct 1 |
Nike NKE |
$0.44 |
Consumer discretionary spending and brand pricing power |
| Oct 1 |
McCormick & Company MKC |
$0.75 |
Input costs and pricing power |
| Oct 6 |
Constellation Brands STZ |
$3.62 |
Consumer spending on premium beverages |
| Oct 8 |
Pepsico PEP |
$2.30 |
Volume trends and input cost inflation |
| Oct 9 |
Delta Air Lines DAL |
$2.03 |
Ticket demand and fuel costs |
WEEK AHEAD
| Date | Event |
| Oct 2, 2026 |
U.S. Jobs Report (September) Q3 labour market health check; impacts Oct FOMC hold/cut decision. |
ON THE RADAR
| Date | Event |
| Oct 14, 2026 |
U.S. CPI (September) Q3 inflation summary; key input for Nov and Dec FOMC decisions. |
| Oct 27–28, 2026 |
FOMC Meeting & Rate Decision (Oct 27–28, 2026) – Rate decision Oct 28 at 2 PM ET No updated rate-path forecast at this meeting; decision driven by September jobs and inflation data. Market consensus: hold. |
| Oct 29, 2026 |
U.S. Q3 2026 GDP Advance Estimate Consensus: +1.8% annualized – First read on Q3 growth; consensus +1.8% annualized after a soft Q2. A miss would reinforce rate cut case. |
Marz Capital – The Brief · Sourced from Yahoo Finance, BLS, StatsCan, FRED, CNBC, Reuters & web search ·
Note: some 1M/YTD/1Y market columns show n/a where data was unavailable at time of research · Treasury "ATH" reflects the past 20 years, not full history, since older-regime peaks (e.g. ~15% in 1981) aren't a meaningful comparison to today
Marz Capital, 475 Kent Ave, Brooklyn, NY 11249
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