Tuesday, October 6, 2026
“An economy is not a complicated thing; it just has a lot of moving parts.”– Ray Dalio
Nasdaq hits a fresh record even as the 10-year Treasury yield pushes to 24-year highs, AI enthusiasm overriding rate concerns.
Technology and AI names extend gains after Wall Street banks launch a record $60bn chip financing for Broadcom and Anthropic.
Financials rise as banks lead that same AI financing deal, showing strong lending appetite despite debt concerns.
Bond volatility (MOVE) jumps nearly 6% as a global bond rout runs alongside the AI-driven equity rally.
EM equities lead all sectors as the World Bank lifts its East Asia and Pacific growth outlook to 4.5%.
Consumer Discretionary lags the broader market as Mattel faces investor pressure over stagnating sales.
Brent crude drops another 2% below $100, even as Energy sector equities move higher.
Gold extends its climb as NYSE's owner launches new gold futures trading in London.
VIX eases and high-yield spreads tighten, pointing to easing risk aversion despite rising bond yields.
| Value | 1D | 1M | YTD | 1Y | ATH | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | 7,774 | ▲ 0.66% | ▲ 0.72% | ▲ 13.35% | ▲ 15.34% | ▼ 0.55% |
| Nasdaq | 27,477 | ▲ 1.05% | ▲ 3.66% | ▲ 18.26% | ▲ 19.77% | ▼ 0.24% |
| Russell 2000 | 2,847 | ▲ 0.50% | ▼ 4.32% | ▲ 13.51% | ▲ 14.51% | ▼ 7.25% |
| EM (EEM) | $69 | ▲ 1.57% | ▲ 0.04% | ▲ 22.21% | ▲ 26.16% | ▼ 3.97% |
| Financials (XLF) | $54 | ▲ 0.73% | ▼ 7.26% | ▼ 1.91% | ▲ 0.34% | ▼ 8.05% |
| Energy (XLE) | $63 | ▲ 1.00% | ▼ 0.95% | ▲ 38.99% | ▲ 42.03% | ▼ 30.23% |
| Technology (XLK) | $201 | ▲ 0.56% | ▲ 7.29% | ▲ 39.24% | ▲ 39.73% | ▼ 7.59% |
| AI ETF (SMH) | $634 | ▲ 0.52% | ▲ 11.80% | ▲ 69.81% | ▲ 84.61% | ▼ 5.65% |
| Cons Disc (XLY) | $110 | ▲ 0.35% | ▼ 3.91% | ▼ 6.70% | ▼ 7.94% | ▼ 40.10% |
| Gold ($/oz) | $4,187 | ▲ 0.73% | ▼ 6.47% | ▼ 3.29% | ▲ 5.30% | ▼ 25.05% |
| Bitcoin (USD) | $86,076 | ▲ 0.34% | ▲ 7.13% | ▼ 4.30% | ▼ 31.00% | ▼ 31.79% |
| Copper ($/lb) | $6.64 | ▲ 0.77% | ▲ 0.60% | ▲ 17.67% | ▲ 33.08% | ▼ 2.83% |
| Brent Oil ($/bbl) | $98 | ▼ 2.04% | ▲ 2.07% | ▲ 61.76% | ▲ 50.10% | ▼ 33.34% |
| Nat Gas ($/MMBtu) | $3.07 | ▲ 0.20% | ▲ 3.26% | ▼ 15.09% | ▼ 8.49% | ▼ 80.53% |
| VIX (Volatility) | 15.34 | ▼ 1.16% | ▲ 0.26% | ▲ 5.72% | ▼ 6.29% | ▼ 82.87% |
| MOVE (Bond Volatility) | 113.60 | ▲ 5.88% | ▲ 55.40% | ▲ 82.17% | ▲ 55.64% | ▼ 57.07% |
| 3-Month T-Bill | 4.19% | ▲ 2bps | ▲ 27bps | ▲ 54bps | ▲ 17bps | ▼ 144bps |
| 2Y Treasury | 4.83% | ▲ 5bps | ▲ 44bps | ▲ 136bps | ▲ 128bps | ▼ 36bps |
| 10Y Treasury | 5.28% | ▲ 4bps | ▲ 49bps | ▲ 109bps | ▲ 118bps | ▼ 1bps |
| US HY Spread | 3.10% | ▼ 14bps | ▲ 44bps | ▲ 27bps | ▲ 29bps | ▼ 151bps |
| US Dollar Index (DXY) | 102.01 | ▼ 0.15% | ▲ 2.88% | ▲ 3.65% | ▲ 3.98% | ▼ 38.07% |
| US Unemployment | 4.20% | Sep 2026 · Next release: November 6, 2026 | ||||
| US CPI (YoY) | 3.40% | Aug 2026 · BLS CPI-U all items NSA | ||||
| SOFR 3M (90d avg) | 3.70% | Rate only · n/a across change periods | ||||
| Date | Company | EPS Forecast | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | Constellation Brands STZ | $3.62 | Consumer spending on premium beverages |
| Oct 8 | Pepsico PEP | $2.29 | Volume trends and input cost inflation |
| Oct 9 | Delta Air Lines DAL | $1.96 | Ticket demand and fuel costs |
| Oct 13 | J P Morgan Chase JPM | $5.88 | Net interest income, credit quality, and loan growth |
| Oct 13 | Johnson & Johnson JNJ | $2.90 | Drug pipeline progress and pricing and patent pressure |
| Oct 13 | UnitedHealth Group UNH | $4.12 | Medical cost trends and membership growth |
| Oct 13 | Goldman Sachs Group GS | $14.05 | Deal volumes and trading activity |
| Oct 13 | Citigroup C | $2.66 | Net interest income, credit quality, and loan growth |
| Oct 14 | Bank of America BAC | $1.12 | Net interest income, credit quality, and loan growth |
| Oct 14 | Morgan Stanley MS | $2.88 | Deal volumes and trading activity |
| Oct 14 | BlackRock BLK | $14.04 | Assets under management and market-driven fee revenue |
| Oct 14 | Fastenal FAST | $0.34 | Industrial demand and distribution volumes |
| Oct 14 | State Street STT | $3.63 | Assets under management and market-driven fee revenue |
| Oct 15 | Charles Schwab SCHW | $1.66 | Deal volumes and trading activity |
| Oct 15 | Prologis PLD | $1.58 | Warehouse demand and e-commerce-driven leasing |
| Oct 15 | Bank Of New York Mellon BNY | $2.27 | Assets under management and market-driven fee revenue |
| Oct 15 | U.S. Bancorp USB | $1.32 | Net interest income, credit quality, and loan growth |
| Oct 15 | PNC Financial Services Group PNC | $4.98 | Net interest income, credit quality, and loan growth |
| Oct 15 | Marsh MRSH | $1.96 | Premium growth and commission trends |
| Oct 15 | Interactive Brokers Group IBKR | $0.66 | Deal volumes and trading activity |
| Oct 15 | J.B. Hunt Transport Services JBHT | $2 | Freight volumes and fuel surcharges |
| Oct 15 | Snap-On SNA | $4.91 | Capex cycles and order backlogs |
| Oct 16 | Travelers Companies TRV | $6.82 | Claims trends (including weather losses) and premium pricing |
| Oct 16 | Truist Financial TFC | $1.12 | Net interest income, credit quality, and loan growth |
| Oct 16 | M&T Bank MTB | $4.99 | Credit card delinquencies, deposit costs, and interest rate impact |
| Oct 16 | Citizens Financial Group CFG | $1.38 | Credit card delinquencies, deposit costs, and interest rate impact |
| Oct 16 | Regions Financial RF | $0.67 | Credit card delinquencies, deposit costs, and interest rate impact |
| Oct 19 | Fifth Third Bancorp FITB | $1.09 | Credit card delinquencies, deposit costs, and interest rate impact |
| Oct 19 | Steel Dynamics STLD | $5.41 | Steel prices and industrial and construction demand |
| Oct 19 | W.R. Berkley WRB | $1.13 | Claims trends (including weather losses) and premium pricing |
| Oct 20 | GE Aerospace GE | $2.01 | Defense budgets, aircraft delivery backlogs, and supply chain bottlenecks |
| Oct 20 | Philip Morris International PM | $2.33 | Volume declines and pricing power |
| Oct 20 | Netflix NFLX | $0.82 | Box office and streaming performance and content spending |
| Oct 20 | RTX RTX | $1.75 | Defense budgets, aircraft delivery backlogs, and supply chain bottlenecks |
| Oct 20 | Intuitive Surgical ISRG | $2.13 | Procedure volumes and hospital capital spending |
| Oct 20 | Chubb CB | $6.26 | Claims trends (including weather losses) and premium pricing |
| Oct 20 | Capital One Financial COF | $5.43 | Credit demand, delinquencies, and interest rate sensitivity |
| Oct 20 | 3M MMM | $2.41 | Order backlogs across diversified end markets |
| Oct 20 | General Motors GM | $3.46 | Vehicle demand, EV transition costs, and pricing and incentives |
| Oct 20 | Northrop Grumman NOC | $7.21 | Defense budgets, aircraft delivery backlogs, and supply chain bottlenecks |
| Oct 20 | PACCAR PCAR | $1.61 | Equipment demand tied to construction and mining activity |
| Oct 20 | MSCI MSCI | $5.01 | Trading volumes and data and subscription revenue growth |
| Oct 20 | United Airlines Holdings UAL | $3 | Ticket demand and fuel costs |
| Oct 20 | EQT EQT | $0.43 | Crude and natural gas prices |
| Oct 20 | Halliburton HAL | $0.58 | Drilling activity and oilfield spending |
| Oct 20 | Synchrony Financial SYF | $2.42 | Credit demand, delinquencies, and interest rate sensitivity |
| Oct 20 | KeyCorp KEY | $0.46 | Credit card delinquencies, deposit costs, and interest rate impact |
| Oct 20 | Omnicom Group OMC | $2.68 | Ad spending trends across channels |
| Oct 20 | Genuine Parts GPC | $2.10 | Supply chain volumes and industrial demand |
| Oct 20 | Equifax EFX | $2.21 | Client demand and project pipelines |
| Oct 20 | Hasbro HAS | $1.88 | Consumer discretionary demand for recreational goods |
| Date | Event |
|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | U.S. CPI (September) Q3 inflation summary; key input for Nov and Dec FOMC decisions. |
| Oct 27–28, 2026 | FOMC Meeting & Rate Decision (Oct 27–28, 2026) – Rate decision Oct 28 at 2 PM ET No updated rate-path forecast at this meeting; decision driven by September jobs and inflation data. Market consensus: hold. |
| Oct 29, 2026 | U.S. Q3 2026 GDP Advance Estimate Consensus: +1.8% annualized – First read on Q3 growth; consensus +1.8% annualized after a soft Q2. A miss would reinforce rate cut case. |
Share The Brief with colleagues and earn rewards. See how it works.
Marz Capital – The Brief · Sourced from Yahoo Finance, BLS, StatsCan, FRED, CNBC, Reuters & web search · Note: some 1M/YTD/1Y market columns show n/a where data was unavailable at time of research · Treasury "ATH" reflects the past 20 years, not full history, since older-regime peaks (e.g. ~15% in 1981) aren't a meaningful comparison to today
Marz Capital, 475 Kent Ave, Brooklyn, NY 11249
You're receiving this because you subscribed at marzcapital.co · Unsubscribe